Why Time is the Friend of the Wonderful Business: Buffett's Long-Term Investing Philosophy
Warren Buffett's investment best practices
Distilled from the 2010 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Letter
Core Investment Philosophy
- Focus on intrinsic value - Book value is a useful but understated proxy that provides a reasonable tracking device
- Take a long-term perspective - "Time is the friend of the wonderful business"
- Be patient - Keep significant cash reserves to seize opportunities during market turmoil
Business Evaluation
- Look for businesses with outstanding economics - Seek returns on unleveraged net tangible assets of 25%+ after tax
- Understand the risk profile - The ability to anticipate effects of economic scenarios not previously observed
- Evaluate management on their allocation of retained earnings - This affects future intrinsic value dramatically
- Avoid businesses with significant debt - "Leverage is addictive" and "can be lethal to businesses"
Investment Discipline
- Never risk what you have for what you don't need - Extreme aversion to financial adventurism
- Maintain significant liquidity - Hold substantial cash reserves ($10B minimum at Berkshire)
- Avoid borrowing - "More money has been lost reaching for yield than at the point of a gun"
- Resist following industry trends - "The other guy is doing it so we must as well" spells trouble
Decision-Making Framework
- Think like an owner - Approach investments with an owner's mindset
- Be willing to walk away - The discipline to refuse inadequate prices/terms
- Compare potential acquisitions against a wide universe of opportunities - Including marketable securities
- Don't rely on precise calculations - Prefer being "approximately right than precisely wrong"
Value Creation Approach
- Focus on growing earnings from non-insurance businesses
- Compound capital at above-average rates over the long term
- Reinvest earnings rather than paying dividends when returns justify it
- Evaluate businesses on normalized earnings power not accounting metrics like net income
Management Quality Indicators
- Look for managers who love their businesses rather than seeing them as stepping stones
- Find leaders who will have an unusual commitment to their operations
- Prefer managers who focus on efficient operations via productivity gains
- Seek managers who communicate bad news promptly rather than letting it fester
"Our goal was to find a 2-year-old Secretariat, not a 10-year-old Seabiscuit." - Warren Buffett on talent selection