Kissing Corporate Toads: Buffett's Warning on Acquisition Fever

Buffett's Investment Best Practices

Key Insights from the 1992 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter

Acquisition Philosophy

  • Look for excellent economic characteristics and management you like, trust, and admire
  • Be active, interested, and open-minded in searching for businesses, but never be in a hurry
  • Buy good businesses at fair prices rather than fair businesses at good prices
  • Avoid "kissing toads" - paying dearly for troubled businesses in hopes of transformation
  • Only issue shares when receiving as much value as given

Stock Selection Criteria

  1. Understandable business - Choose companies you can comprehend
  2. Favorable long-term prospects - Focus on sustainable advantages
  3. Honest and competent management - Quality leadership is essential
  4. Attractive price - Seek reasonable valuation with margin of safety

Value vs. Growth Perspective

  • "Growth is always a component in the calculation of value" - They are not opposing approaches
  • Growth only benefits investors when each dollar used to finance growth creates over a dollar of long-term market value
  • In low-return businesses, growth actually hurts the investor

Intrinsic Value Fundamentals

  • The value of any stock is determined by the cash inflows and outflows—discounted at an appropriate rate—expected during the remaining life of the asset
  • Buy the investment shown by discounted cash flow calculations to be cheapest, regardless of other factors
  • The best businesses can employ large amounts of incremental capital at very high rates of return
  • Most high-return businesses need relatively little capital

Risk Management Principles

  • Define what you don't know - Investment success depends more on realistically understanding limitations than extensive knowledge
  • Margin of safety - Only purchase when calculated value is significantly higher than price
  • Stick to simple, stable businesses - Complex or constantly changing businesses make future cash flows unpredictable
  • An investor needs to do very few things right as long as big mistakes are avoided
  • Tolerate short-term volatility for better long-term prospects

Market Wisdom

  • Stock forecasters make fortune tellers look good
  • Short-term market forecasts are "poison" and should be kept away from both children and adults who behave like children
  • The secondary market is periodically ruled by mass folly, creating bargain opportunities
  • New-issue markets are controlled by sellers who can time offerings and rarely offer bargains

Performance Evaluation

  • Focus on "look-through" earnings that include Berkshire's share of retained earnings from major investees
  • The goal: 15% annual growth in intrinsic business value over time
  • When allocating capital today, think about maximizing long-term results years ahead
  • In baseball terms, focus on "slugging percentage, not batting average"
"Value investing is redundant. What is investing if it is not the act of seeking value at least sufficient to justify the amount paid?" — Warren Buffett