AT&T Earnings: Strong subscriber growth in 5G and fiber with improving profitability
T Financial Analysis
Analysis Date: 1/28/2025
Business Model
AT&T generates revenue primarily through wireless service, equipment sales, and wireline services including fiber broadband
Revenue Sources
- Mobility services (51% of revenue)
- Equipment sales (22% of revenue)
- Consumer Wireline (11% of revenue)
- Business Wireline (14% of revenue)
Revenue Distribution by Channel
- Direct to consumer and business customers
Income Statement Analysis
- Operating revenues increased 0.9% YoY driven by Mobility service revenue growth
- Operating expenses up 0.8% YoY due to higher depreciation from network investments
- Net income increased 70.7% YoY due to higher operating income and other income
Balance Sheet Analysis
- Reduced net debt by $8.8B year-over-year to $120.1B
- Net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio improved to 2.68x from 2.97x
- On track to reach net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA in 2.5x range by H1 2025
Cash Flow Analysis
- Operating cash flow increased $0.5B YoY to $11.9B
- Free cash flow of $4.8B, down YoY due to higher capital expenditures
- Full year 2024 free cash flow of $17.6B, up $0.9B YoY
Capital Allocation
AT&T maintains focus on network investments with capital investment of $22.1B in 2024. The company reduced net debt by $8.8B YoY and plans to begin share repurchases in H2 2025 under $10B authorization while maintaining dividend payments. Expected to close DIRECTV/TPG transaction in mid-2025.
Management Commentary
Strong Q4 results showcase momentum in gaining profitable 5G and fiber subscribers
Met all 2024 consolidated financial guidance
On track to reach net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA target in H1 2025
Accelerated decline in legacy Business Wireline services
Overall Sentiment: Positive with strong execution on strategic priorities and financial targets
Recommendation
Rating: Buy
Reason for Rating: Strong execution, improving balance sheet, and sustainable growth in core businesses
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on company filings and public information. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Generated on: 1/28/2025, 3:52:02 AM